Non-Gallup/Rasmussen tracking polls thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Non-Gallup/Rasmussen tracking polls thread  (Read 143411 times)
cinyc
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« on: October 20, 2008, 01:14:31 AM »


Zogby's great at making up poll numbers to generate headlines.  Other than that, I don't think Zogby's that great, regardless of who he claims is leading on any given day.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2008, 01:13:38 AM »

After the ten point movement the last four days, I am willing to bet even money that Zogby shows McCain within a couple of points or even ahead sometime before the election.

Zogby "polling" to make news headlines?  Who would have thunk that?
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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2008, 11:41:41 PM »

I see Zogby's still generating polls headlines.  Is there a bigger media whore pollster out there?
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2008, 09:07:24 PM »
« Edited: October 26, 2008, 09:11:12 PM by cinyc »

For what it is worth Drudge has a headline saying zogby will show Obama 49.9% McCain 45.1%. That would move McCain up by 1 point from yesterday and Obama up by 0.5% as well.

In other words, no change. Still a 5-point lead for Obama

Dave

Well, +0.5 in margin for McCain...

That depends on whether polling media whore Zogby is teasing the "Monday" one-day sample (which would be about O+2 from the "Sunday" one-day sample, where Obama was supposedly leading by 3 - and yes, that's off by a day, but it's Zobgy) or his three-day average (M+0.5).  It's not clear.
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2008, 09:28:09 PM »

It looks as if Zogby will be releasing state polls starting tonight at 1 am as well.. these ought to give us a nice laugh.

Telephone (ha! ha!) or Interactive (ha! ha! ha! ha! ha! ha! ha! ha! ha!)?
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2008, 12:55:32 AM »

Uh-oh, McSurge is over !

Zogby/Reuters/C-Span - October 30:

Obama 50 (+1)
McCain 43 (-1)

It's Zogby.

Actual numbers to the super-duper Zogby tenth:
Obama 50.2% (+1.1)
McCain 43.3% (-1.1)

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cinyc
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2008, 09:24:21 PM »

I gave it 9:1 odds of showing a lead, Sam only said it'd be at least tied.

F***cking Drudge giving it the headline treatment when it's a ZOGBY, SINGLE-DAY poll...  I swear, sometimes HuffPost is less ridiculous.

More from Drudge:
ZOGBY SATURDAY: McCain outpolled Obama 48% to 47% in Friday, one day, polling. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all...

It's Zogby, the media whore pollster.  You can't generate headlines going with the flow.
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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 01:29:40 AM »

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Also a two-candidate race, John... Roll Eyes

It's Zogby.
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cinyc
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 12:18:19 PM »

Considering that the McCain +1 sample falls off tomorrow, I see a Zogby surge to Obama +10 or 11 by election day.

Unless Zogby pulls a Zogby and turns what was a three-day rolling average poll into a four-day one.  I seem to recall that he pulled that stunt during the primaries.
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