2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue) (user search)
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  2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)  (Read 182624 times)
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« on: June 22, 2010, 09:12:53 PM »

Some early resulst in utah, mike lee is up on 52.63% to bridgewater's 47.37%. lee is also currently leading in salt lake county.
I'm pulling for Bridgewater in this race. Utahans will be in for a surprise after this election when they'll have at least one Senator who isn't an old fart.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2010, 09:21:52 PM »

Some early resulst in utah, mike lee is up on 52.63% to bridgewater's 47.37%. lee is also currently leading in salt lake county.
I'm pulling for Bridgewater in this race. Utahans will be in for a surprise after this election when they'll have at least one Senator who isn't an old fart.

How old are the two candidates?
Mike Lee is probably in his lower 40's. Tim Bridgewater is probably closer to 50. Both relatively young though compared to Hatch and Bennett.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2010, 09:27:21 PM »

Some early resulst in utah, mike lee is up on 52.63% to bridgewater's 47.37%. lee is also currently leading in salt lake county.
I'm pulling for Bridgewater in this race. Utahans will be in for a surprise after this election when they'll have at least one Senator who isn't an old fart.

How old are the two candidates?
Mike Lee is probably in his lower 40's. Tim Bridgewater is probably closer to 50. Both relatively young though compared to Hatch and Bennett.


Mike Lee is actually 36, and a real nutter who has said that American law should be based on the Book of Mormon.
Hm, that doesn't sound too bad, given my knowledge of the Book of Mormon. Wink Never really researched him, but my Dad is really liking him, so I figured he might have been something awful. Maybe not...
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2010, 06:00:25 AM »

My predictions:

GA Runoff

Handel: 50.4%*
Deal: 49.6%

CT Governor & Senate

Foley: 39.8%*
Fedele: 31.8%
Griebel: 25.4%

Lamont: 51.2%
Malloy: 48.8%*

McMahon: 53.1%*
Simmons: 21.8%
Schiff: 11.1%

CO Governor & Senate

McInnis: 50.4%*
Maes: 49.6%

Bennet: 50.9%*
Romanoff: 49.1%

Norton: 51.4%*
Buck: 48.6%

* - Indicates candidate whom I'd support
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2010, 08:25:45 PM »

Only 21% in from Fulton candidate and Handel's doing pretty well thus far. I think she's got this! Cheesy
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #5 on: August 10, 2010, 08:49:04 PM »

I'm feeling very confident about Karen Handel's chances. Fulton county just needs to keep coming in at the same rate.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #6 on: August 10, 2010, 08:56:03 PM »

83% of precincts reporting:

Deal: 273,348
Handel: 268,192

SoS is coming in faster than WSBTV. Handel has gained about 5,000 votes in the last 3% of precincts. Fulton county is still only at 27%, and she's winning it 26,000-10,000 thus far.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #7 on: August 10, 2010, 09:00:08 PM »

83% of precincts reporting:

Deal: 273,348
Handel: 268,192

SoS is coming in faster than WSBTV. Handel has gained about 5,000 votes in the last 3% of precincts. Fulton county is still only at 27%, and she's winning it 26,000-10,000 thus far.

The AP says Fulton is 75% in - with the same amount of votes.
That is correct. SoS needs to change that. Wink They're saying that 276 of the 333 precincts have come in though.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #8 on: August 10, 2010, 09:15:54 PM »

Whatever the result of the Georgia runoff, the loser is gonna be demanding a recount . . .

Certainly. I can't remember what the percentage is for an automatic recount. Maybe .5 percent?
This is just ridiculously close. I was hoping Handel would be leading by the end, but I'm worried we may have a slight Deal lead. There will be a recount regardless.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #9 on: August 10, 2010, 09:22:45 PM »

Handel just narrowed the gap to 3500. Fulton county is still steadily trickling in.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #10 on: August 10, 2010, 09:26:12 PM »

Fulton County is to Handel as Cook County is to JFK.
Exactly, and the turnout in the county may end up beating how it was back on the 20th. Only needs 4000 more votes for that to happen. She's winning it with 70% I'd say.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #11 on: August 10, 2010, 09:27:56 PM »

The Deal-Handel race looks like just about a tie.

A slight Deal win with a recount would be the best situation possible for Barnes
I beg to differ. Deal, who used to be a Democrat, worked with Barnes in the Senate for over a decade. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Deal endorsed him.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2010, 09:58:31 PM »

I expect a recount, however. Handel just pulled within 3000 votes. This really sucks. Sad
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #13 on: August 11, 2010, 01:36:47 PM »

In case anyone didn't know, Karen Handel has conceded from the race and will not be requesting a recount. She has also warmly endorsed Nathan Deal. I suppose it's for the good of the party, since Deal stated he wouldn't endorse her. It's all too bad. Sad
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #14 on: August 22, 2010, 04:14:12 PM »

I'm really relieved McCain will most likely win his primary. A few months ago I was starting to get worried Hayworth may beat him. Thankfully not! Tongue It's been a joy following McCain on Facebook - his photographers are very talented.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #15 on: August 25, 2010, 09:40:50 AM »

This is too bad. Sad Murkowski was one of my favorite Senators.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #16 on: September 14, 2010, 09:55:46 PM »

If Coons doesn't wage a spirited campaign, O'Donnell will win. I'd bet my life savings on it.
You're really questioning the intelligence of Delaware voters with that statement.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #17 on: September 15, 2010, 06:48:09 AM »

Also, Doug Hoffman will be playing 3rd party spoiler in NY-23... again (link).

This guy is so selfish. I question the judgment of anyone who would vote for him.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #18 on: September 15, 2010, 06:47:19 PM »

Is O'Donnell's site having a Sharron Angle style "re-tool"?
http://christine2010.com/

There's only the donation notice...
I noticed that too...
Question: Can Mike Castle run as an Independent?
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #19 on: September 15, 2010, 08:21:29 PM »

According to Dick Morris, Gillibrand's seat is now in play...
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #20 on: September 16, 2010, 11:28:18 PM »

Strange video: http://videoshare.politico.com/singletitlevideo.php?bcpid=19407224001&bctid=610259329001

Neither O'Reilly or Palin can remember who she endorsed in New Hampshire. Or Palin didn't understand O'Reilly was taking to her. But O'Reilly also makes it sounds like the guy he's talking about is Lamontagne and that he was endorsed by Palin and that he won, when in fact Palin endorsed Kelly Ayotte and she won.
I don't think Palin could hear him, based on her facial expressions.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2010, 07:01:08 PM »

Thoughts on the Connecticut Senate debate?

I don't think either candidate had necessarily a game-changing moment, but I think McMahon performed a lot better. She's obviously a better speaker and debater than Blumenthal is. I think her "shining moment" was when she was defending herself for spending her own money. Her closing was also very strong, while Blumenthal's was very choppy. While his views are probably more in line with Connecticut, it seemed like he didn't prepare much for the debate.
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