NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points (user search)
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  NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points (search mode)
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Author Topic: NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points  (Read 4781 times)
tmthforu94
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E: -0.26, S: -4.52

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« on: July 18, 2012, 08:40:20 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on July 18, 2012, 03:24:46 PM
Quote from: a Person on July 18, 2012, 03:22:43 PM
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on July 18, 2012, 03:19:34 PM
Obama won New Mexico by 15 in 2008. Among the voters in this poll, he won by only 8. So he's really winning New Mexico by 11 or 12.
Do you not understand the concept of different turnout?

Do the math. 5 + 7 = 12.
The 2012 electorate will certainly be more favorable to the GOP than 2008, so it'd make sense that Obama's 2008 numbers are a bit lower.
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