Jimmy Carter for Dean (user search)
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Author Topic: Jimmy Carter for Dean  (Read 11753 times)
dazzleman
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« on: January 18, 2004, 11:10:48 PM »

I guess Carter will help Dean as much as he helped Mondale.
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dazzleman
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*****
Posts: 13,777
Political Matrix
E: 1.88, S: 1.59

« Reply #1 on: January 18, 2004, 11:21:59 PM »

Dean is in Georgia to give himself an excuse for not winning Iowa, I think.

Good point.  After being the clear front-runner for a while now, expectations are very high for Dean.

It's kind of like the stock market's reaction when a company releases earnings.  If the market is expecting a 50% increase in earnings, and it's only 48%, the stock will drop.  But if the market was expecting a 30% increase in earnings, that same 48% increase will make the stock go up.

Same thing with Dean.  He needs to lower expectations of a clear Iowa win, and make a very tight victory, or even a second place finish, seem respectable.  Otherwise, an upset by Kerry or Edwards will seem to be a big victory, while anything short of clear victory is a defeat for Dean.  Ah, the perils of being a front runner.
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