Missouri caucuses won't include a straw poll (user search)
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  Missouri caucuses won't include a straw poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: Missouri caucuses won't include a straw poll  (Read 15093 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #25 on: March 24, 2012, 03:38:53 PM »

Paul won vast majority of delegates in Jackson with Romney winning the remainder. None for Santorum. I don't have any hard numbers, but Paul should now be leading in my totals.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #26 on: March 24, 2012, 03:51:18 PM »

Seeing 80%/20% P/R being thrown around. If exact, that's 143 Paul and 36 Romney from Jackson. Going by those numbers, you'd get:

Delegates (51/142):
476 Paul
414 Santorum
346 Romney
32 Uncommitted
9 Gingrich
(21 Unknown)

Keep in mind the most of the other 91 counties/townships where I don't have info should be mostly Santorum areas. I still think Rick has more statewide, but we may never know.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #27 on: March 24, 2012, 04:03:18 PM »

Any news organisations counting the delegates from this contest?

I doubt it.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #28 on: March 25, 2012, 07:13:12 PM »

Got a map update? Any chance we could get these results posted on the main website?

That map doesn't change much. Only St. Louis County and Jackson County have voted since my last map and Paul won both. Also, I highly, highly doubt the caucus data will be hosted on the main site unless the MOGOP releases something official or I find something totaled.

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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #29 on: March 26, 2012, 10:09:54 AM »


Most of their sources didn't have hard numbers unfortunately, but most of the stuff that did that I didn't have was really strong for Santorum, who is once again leading my tally.

New numbers:

Delegates (66/142):
495 Santorum
473 Paul
354 Romney
67 Uncommitted
11 Gingrich
(21 Unknown)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #30 on: March 26, 2012, 11:17:06 AM »

Are all of the Anti Santorum areas in or is it hard to tell because of the Romney-Paul alliance?

Impossible to say for sure. I'm sure St. Charles County when it votes will be strong for Paul. The other areas should mostly, though certainly not entirely, Santorum.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #31 on: March 26, 2012, 11:34:20 AM »
« Edited: March 26, 2012, 11:36:06 AM by realisticidealist »

Are all of the Anti Santorum areas in or is it hard to tell because of the Romney-Paul alliance?

Impossible to say for sure. I'm sure St. Charles County when it votes will be strong for Paul. The other areas should mostly, though certainly not entirely, Santorum.

Yeah, I think that most of the other counties have so little at stake and so few people it's hard for the not-Santorum's to organise anything to get some delegates off him.

When the delegates are generally going 100% for one candidate in most of the small counties, they add up fast.

Also, here is my updated spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aofev0ik3wSudGdoOXBETjFzQ2s3THVsNU00amdoX1E

Oh, and Gingrich apparently won Livingston County for some reason.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #32 on: March 26, 2012, 11:49:01 AM »

How many delegates are at stake in St. Charles?

147, so plenty.
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