Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (user search)
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  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 214312 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #25 on: November 06, 2018, 06:08:50 PM »

Very early, but great number in Sullivan for Braun.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #26 on: November 06, 2018, 06:10:26 PM »

I presume this is all early/absentee vote, but another great number for Braun in Miami County.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #27 on: November 06, 2018, 06:12:12 PM »

I presume the Whitley County result is an error, otherwise that's an insane result for Donnelly.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #28 on: November 06, 2018, 06:13:52 PM »

The GOP House candidate is up by about the same margin in Whitley's district, so I assume an error.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #29 on: November 06, 2018, 06:15:55 PM »

I presume this is all early/absentee vote, but another great number for Braun in Miami County.

Trump +54, Young +35 County


It's quite a bit better for the Rs than Donnelly's 2012 win.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #30 on: November 06, 2018, 08:34:16 PM »

First votes in from ND. RIP Heitkamp
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #31 on: November 06, 2018, 08:45:52 PM »

Are there any House seats that the GOP may be able to flip?

Maybe a couple in MN, one on Long Island.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #32 on: November 06, 2018, 08:47:31 PM »

Cruz will still win, so you don't need a narrative.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #33 on: November 06, 2018, 08:50:38 PM »

Has anyone reported on what's going on with Manchin? If he wins, while four better-placed D's lose...

Manchin was never in real danger because he actually represents his state, unlike the other red state Dems.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #34 on: November 06, 2018, 08:52:31 PM »

James is running quite ahead of Schuette
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #35 on: November 06, 2018, 08:57:07 PM »

If anyone was wondering, Sanders will not win every town in VT
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #36 on: November 06, 2018, 08:58:39 PM »

Hyde-Smith is ahead of McDaniel by a fair margin
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #37 on: November 06, 2018, 09:20:40 PM »

Hugin is still winning in NJ with about a third in
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #38 on: November 06, 2018, 09:23:13 PM »

CNN still has about a net 5,000 vote error in Nelson's favor in Washington County, FL
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #39 on: November 06, 2018, 09:25:46 PM »

Hugin is still winning in NJ with about a third in

NYT has Hugin behind by ~20K with 31% in.

Just flipped narrowly on CNN
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #40 on: November 06, 2018, 09:28:17 PM »

How on earth were the polls so off in TN (and IN and MO, but especially TN)?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #41 on: November 06, 2018, 09:34:06 PM »

Sherrod Brown's margin is collapsing.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #42 on: November 06, 2018, 09:47:09 PM »


NJ gonna NJ
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #43 on: November 06, 2018, 09:48:49 PM »

R's may win multiple D House seats in MN.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #44 on: November 06, 2018, 09:53:10 PM »

Broward now 98% in. Scott still up by 0.8% plus the error in Washington County.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #45 on: November 06, 2018, 09:54:32 PM »


This doesn't account for the "phantom" votes in SE FL
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #46 on: November 06, 2018, 09:57:07 PM »

HUGE east-west polarization in ND. Not a good sign for Tester
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #47 on: November 06, 2018, 09:59:10 PM »

Manchin's margin has also shrunk to just 2%
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #48 on: November 06, 2018, 09:59:55 PM »

Miami-Dade now up to 98%. Stick a fork in Nelson.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #49 on: November 06, 2018, 10:05:07 PM »

Yellowstone is 75% in in Montana, and it seems solid for Tester. Who knows.
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