National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020) (user search)
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Author Topic: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)  (Read 323081 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #175 on: March 06, 2016, 11:33:04 AM »
« edited: March 06, 2016, 11:38:15 AM by realisticidealist »
Quote from: shua on March 06, 2016, 02:42:19 AM
Cool.  Where did you find the Maine county results?

I found a copy of the slideshow they presented at the results announcement party. It has an error in Aroostook County as the numbers on a slide repeat, but you can easily figure out the correct numbers using the overall total.

These are the correct numbers:


Quote
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All of these have really low turnout (single digits) and are generally in supermajority black areas. The large Kasich precinct had exactly one voter. I believe the same is true of the Portsmouth Carson precincts.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #176 on: March 06, 2016, 01:11:15 PM »
Here's a slightly more detailed map of Maine
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #177 on: March 06, 2016, 01:38:07 PM »
Minnesota GOP caucus by Organizing Unit:
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #178 on: March 06, 2016, 03:13:08 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2016, 03:16:12 PM by realisticidealist »
Very strong chance Cruz "won" Colorado on Super Tuesday. While there was no official preference poll, a number of counties did unofficial straw polls. "Officially", Cruz won Larimer, Weld, Adams. Rubio won Boulder and Eagle. Sample of precincts suggests Cruz also won Mesa, El Paso, Douglas, and possibly Jefferson. Arapahoe was too close to call between Cruz and Rubio. Trump came in third most everywhere. Carson may have come in second in El Paso County.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #179 on: March 08, 2016, 12:28:06 AM »
I'm going to attempt something new. Try this on.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #180 on: March 08, 2016, 11:38:49 AM »
Interactive GA and SC GOP map
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #181 on: March 08, 2016, 03:59:44 PM »
Interactive Arkansas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Texas GOP map
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #182 on: March 11, 2016, 06:28:34 PM »
« Edited: March 11, 2016, 06:50:07 PM by realisticidealist »




Boston inset:
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #183 on: March 13, 2016, 05:23:01 PM »
Hawaii GOP caucus:





Kansas Dem caucus by SD:
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #184 on: March 13, 2016, 10:52:30 PM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on March 13, 2016, 10:30:14 PM
Realist, can you calculate the GOP results by congressional district in MA for me.  Hate not having it on the map.

Dave has the results on the main site. Trump won every CD:

DistrictTrumpKasichRubioCruz
148.59%16.69%16.06%12.19%
247.65%16.64%17.38%11.77%
349.59%17.14%17.52%
9.61%
445.07%19.99%20.79%
9.12%
545.73%21.82%19.54%
8.06%
651.79%17.62%16.83%
8.87%
742.36%21.72%22.54%
7.87%
850.97%17.69%17.78%
8.46%
953.42%15.86%15.51%
9.32%
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #185 on: March 16, 2016, 01:46:33 PM »


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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #186 on: March 16, 2016, 04:52:18 PM »
Quote from: Miles on March 16, 2016, 04:39:54 PM
Do those include the absentee/early votes?

No, I didn't partition them.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #187 on: March 20, 2016, 10:49:05 AM »
Quote from: Megameow on March 20, 2016, 01:43:38 AM
Is anybody working on a Kansas Democratic caucus county map? Or is it impossible to get because of whatever reason? I'm sure people here would love it but it seems like it won't be possible.

They only released results by Senate District, a map which I already posted.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #188 on: March 20, 2016, 10:36:48 PM »
Quote from: nclib on March 20, 2016, 02:00:36 PM
What are the best/worst Sanders/Clinton results by county in Maine and Minnesota (the other states without data on Atlas)?

MN
Best Sanders county: Stevens County (83%)
Best Clinton county: Traverse County (61%)

ME
Best Sanders county: Waldo County (73%)
Best Clinton county: Aroostook County (45%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #189 on: March 20, 2016, 10:51:51 PM »
Quote from: Megameow on March 20, 2016, 10:43:30 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 20, 2016, 10:49:05 AM
Quote from: Megameow on March 20, 2016, 01:43:38 AM
Is anybody working on a Kansas Democratic caucus county map? Or is it impossible to get because of whatever reason? I'm sure people here would love it but it seems like it won't be possible.

They only released results by Senate District, a map which I already posted.

Thanks for that. I also have a question about that; your map for the 2008 Dem primary has districts in Kansas that I assume are Senate districts, but the Wichita and Kansas City areas don't have that cluster of small districts that your 2016 map has. Are they consolidated or is your 2008 map of something other than Senate districts?

Looks like I consolidated them back then. Not sure exactly; it was a while ago.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #190 on: March 24, 2016, 10:17:54 PM »
Quote from: Megameow on March 24, 2016, 10:12:42 PM
Hey realistic, where did you get your Democratic county data for Utah 2016? I haven't been able to find results for three empty counties, and some of your county results don't match what I have seen.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10zV91vmS2aKwfL1hnzFgJSDyHwdAM5dZ0hVjyVyoiUI/edit?pref=2&pli=1#gid=0
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #191 on: March 25, 2016, 12:47:08 PM »
Utah Dem by caucus location:
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #192 on: March 26, 2016, 05:42:17 PM »
So, Trump did very well in the Hispanic areas?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #193 on: March 26, 2016, 08:31:21 PM »
Quote from: Miles on March 26, 2016, 07:30:12 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 26, 2016, 05:42:17 PM
So, Trump did very well in the Hispanic areas?

Yeah, here's a close up of IL-04:



Ok, so the really strong Trump areas must be in IL-03 and IL-05. Lipinski's district doesn't surprise me, but I don't know anything about the other.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #194 on: March 30, 2016, 07:29:28 PM »
Most of Michigan for both sides (all the counties with precinct results I could find online):
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #195 on: March 31, 2016, 04:52:21 PM »
Quote from: RBH on March 31, 2016, 04:44:59 PM
I think realisticidealist might need to doublecheck the shapefiles for HI house districts that he uses though.

No, the one I used for the GOP map was up-to-date; it's just that the GOP reported results by caucus site which were based on precinct conglomerations and often crossed House District lines.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #196 on: March 31, 2016, 05:43:55 PM »




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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #197 on: April 07, 2016, 10:37:56 AM »
Quote from: When do you think it will all become clear? on April 07, 2016, 01:41:51 AM
RI, your Wisconsin map is wrong. It still has a bunch of red counties that Bernie actually won.

Fixed.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #198 on: April 07, 2016, 04:29:55 PM »



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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,826


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #199 on: April 07, 2016, 11:32:56 PM »
Quote from: Linus Van Pelt on April 07, 2016, 08:20:58 PM
I'd be interested in seeing the GOP version of this.
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