Reaction to this map? (user search)
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June 11, 2024, 09:20:51 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Reaction to this map? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Reaction to this map?  (Read 407 times)
iceman
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,089
United States


« on: May 03, 2024, 06:28:20 AM »
« edited: May 03, 2024, 07:56:48 AM by iceman »

Reaction to this map of state calls by 9PM EST Nov 5, 2024?

edit: ok so let's modify it a bit, I uncalled Connecticut, Kansas and North Carolina, and showed the congressional district results for Nebraska and Maine and reversed it to atlas colors



Uncalled states which have already closed: AZ, NM, CO, MN, KS, WI, MI, PA, NC, VA, GA, NH, ME-AL, NJ, CT, RI.

Still voting: CA, OR, WA, HI, AK, ID, UT, MT, NV, IA

EC vote by 9PM EST:

Trump: 190
BIden: 77
RFK: 0
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iceman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,089
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2024, 07:32:55 AM »

Likely Trump win due to NJ and RI not being called yet, though I suspect high third party vote in the latter (at least) and early voting dumps favouring Trump (like in Virginia) for New Jersey probably would explain this.

Probably leads to the normal expected Trump vic, Trump 2016 + NV. Potentially also MN, NH and ME (esp. given RI not being called yet really signals issues in Maine).

IL and NY being called, and IA not yet being called, probably means this isn't a total blowout, so not a landslide win either.

IA doesn’t close until 10 PM EST

along with NV, MT, UT
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iceman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,089
United States


« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2024, 07:46:45 AM »
« Edited: May 03, 2024, 07:50:50 AM by iceman »

First of all Biden will win Rhode Island.

Does the grey mean "too close to call" or "too early to call"?

Biden could be leading in NJ but it could be "too early to call" without being as
close as a "too close to call state"
Reaction to this map of state calls by 9PM EST Nov 5, 2024?

edit: ok so let's modify it a bit, I uncalled Connecticut, Kansas and North Carolina, and showed the congressional district results for Nebraska and Maine and reversed it to atlas colors



Uncalled states which have already closed: AZ, NM, CO, MN, KS, WI, MI, PA, VA, GA, NH, ME-AL, NJ, CT, RI.



I edited it a bit. States that are still voting are IA, ID, MT, UT, NV, CA, OR, WA, HI, AK

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iceman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,089
United States


« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2024, 11:06:05 AM »


It’s still too close to call, it’s like 2004 election night.
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