IL/WI-Emerson: Duckworth +2, Feingold +10

[RRusso1982]

Kirk has a history of outperforming the top of the Republican ticket.  He had no problem winning reelection in his old Northern Chicago suburbs district in 2006 and 2008.  I believe he will outperform Trump by a healthy margin, but it won't be enough in the end.  I believe he will come up short, but it won't be a landslide.  I would say he loses mid single digits.