Will Boris Johnson last to 2024?

[The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ]

I'm looking from the outside in, and not terribly familiar with UK politics, but based on what I know I'm leaning no because it simply feels like he was the right guy for a certain moment and now that moment has passed. BoJo was the right guy to win a Tory majority in 2019 and "deliver Brexit". He's done that, and both sides of the British public seem to be over the Europe debate, so now he's left with a pretty mediocre handling of COVID and a pileup of corruption scandals to answer for.

As the pandemic comes to an end, I think the Tories will have the good sense to replace him with a fresh face. Maybe Rishi Sunak, he seems to get a lot of praise from the media and perhaps people who might vote Labour or Lib Dem against Boris, and it would be a big move on the Tories' part to pick a non-white Prime Minister (as I understand, Indians are a pretty swingy ethnic minority in the UK unlike Black or Pakistani Brits who are much more loyal to Labour, so having Sunak at the helm might help get that demographic on the Tories' side)