2012: Santorum vs. Obama

[Chips]

President Obama: 308 electoral votes
Rick Santorum: 230 electoral votes

I think OH and IA would flip by 1% each. Still not enough for Santorum.

[Chips]

This may be a bit of an unpopular opinion, but I think Santorum would lose and it wouldn't even be close. His social conservatism is the exact type of least appealing to the American people and he has none of the charisma of Trump. He was even worse of a debator than Romney and Obama would just tear him apart.

IN and MO could go either way but they both also rejected extremely socially conservative candidates that year and I think they might do the same with Santorum. Alaska is very, very close with libertarian leaning Republicans sitting it out, but Santorum still wins the state. Trends in Texas and Georgia get supercharged here, but not enough for Obama to carry either state. Arizona is the surprise flip of the night as John McCain declines to endorse Santorum.

That's also a possibility.