Newsweek confirms Time Poll: Bush +11

[zorkpolitics]

I'm still a bit amazed at the Time and Newsweek polls.
1) Time used a firm I never heard of and did most of their polling before Bush's speech, so could Bush be ahead even more?.
2) Newsweek polled registered voters, which all summer have shown a 2-4% edge to Kerry over likely voters, so would they find a bigger lead among likely voters?
3) And  what's happening at Rasmussen?  His daily tracking poll only shows a 5.5% lead by Bush.  But only 1/3 of his interviews were post Bush's speech.

But as they say Perception is Everything, and all across America the News and Papers will report Bush had a Great Convention and a solid lead based on these two polls.  So even people who paid no attention to the RNC will sense it was a success.

Looks like clear advantage Bush for now.   Can he keep the lead for 60 days?   Will the debates change anything?

Will Kerry go so negative he turns off voters?  

[zorkpolitics]

I agree they are junk polls,

But I think they willstill  be influential.  
To the average American, if both Time and Newsweek have a simialr result, they will be convinced its real.    They'll hear about these rsults on their local News, they'll read about them in their Morning paper

I think that means people will conclude that the RNC was a great success and improves Bush's approval rating.  

Will this affect the undecided voters?  Will it give them confidence to back the incumbent, Bush?