AL-Sen, WaPo: Jones +3

[Holmes]

Anyone with more knowledge on AL, would Jones getting 33% of whites be enough to get him over the top? I also found that abortion split very interesting...

If the margin among white voters is only 30% and Jones take 93-94% of the black vote and 70-75% of the rest, then yes. But it really depends on turnout - if the electorate is 68% white/28% black like in 2012, that would be more than enough.