PPP-IA: Walker +10

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Page 5 and 6 are incredibly interesting.

Walker is clearly pulling together the conservative coalition while Rubio may wind up with the moderate one based on their own voters' favorability of other candidates and other candidate voters' favorability of them.

Bad news for Christie - I know Iowa doesn't matter for him, but it seems all his supporters are low information voters. 73% have no opinion of Walker, 63% no opinion of Rubio, 53% no opinion of Paul. Those voters are going to be very susceptible to leaving him when they see other options. As much as I have touted Christie, those numbers are concerning. He will have to make major efforts just to hold his position. Tough but doable.

I still believe Bush will fall obviously, but no one stands to gain that much from his current crop of voters. Christie could get a few, but I'm thinking that's mostly regional. Most anyone who likes Rubio has already deserted Bush post-announcement. Huckabee will probably get a lot in the South and Iowa unless he really looks like a fool and is portrayed as such by the media, but he's not a serious candidate.

Also, Rubio voters seem to know and like Walker more than Walker voters know and like Rubio. That seems to be the opposite of what one would expect. Walker is the 2nd choice of 43% of Rubio voters which could help a lot. A Walker-Rubio ticket could really help unite the party if it comes down to those two. Huckabee and Cruz voters also like Walker a ton too which could put him over the top if they realize they have no chance after SC. Toughest thing to do will be to get the Paul voters on board with such a ticket. (Christie fans would come around.)


Also, the few Walker voters who know Snyder dislike him! SSS and all, but so much for him tearing Walker down.