How likely is this map if Romney wins?

[GLPman]

While the recall election has certainly mobilized Republicans voters in Wisconsin, I sincerely doubt that a) the recall's outcome will affect the presidential election and b) Wisconsin will go to Romney in November.

Nonetheless, let's say I'm wrong and Romney somehow wins Wisconsin. If this election proves to be a 2004-style election, I doubt he'll win Wisconsin while losing Virginia. The only other possibility for a Romney win in Wisconsin is a 2008-style victory, or larger, over Obama.