Ok, it's the very beginning point of when LV is legitimately factored into polling. It isn't even Labor Day yet. Let's compare the results now to an LV poll in October. Guarantee it will be significantly different.
And I was saying the Quinn and Malloy examples aren't applicable because the "Dems hate Republicans just as much so they'll be just as motivated" idea just doesn't match general GOP enthusiasm. That's in no way reflect in IL or CT polling. Those races will see the Dems lose significant support because yes, they're that bad but also because turnout simply isn't in their favor.
And Sarkozy will be reelected.