The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 3

[Landslide Lyndon]

Democratic donors who want to donate to Gillum might as well donate to Trump directly.

[Landslide Lyndon]

NBC has a piece on the growing feud between Beto and Bernie supporters.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/inside-bernie-world-s-war-beto-o-rourke-n951016?cid=sm_npd_nn_fb_ma

It's not just Beto supporters who resent Sirota and co.'s smear tactics. It's most Democrats who had enough of Saint Bernie's BS two years ago and want him to rein in his minions.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Bernie doesn't always vote the right way, but he votes the right way a lot more than some New Democrat.

Drink.

[Landslide Lyndon]

It's astonishing how tone-deaf Bernie bros are.
They actually think that calling someone the "new Obama" is an effective attack line in a Democratic primary.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Klobuchar joining much of the rest of the field in saying that she needs to talk the 2020 decision over with her family:

https://www.newsadvance.com/news/trending/should-i-run-for-president-what-some-democrats-are-pondering/article_265f0cdf-7b9b-5a6d-8c28-0e3231e8525d.html

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Trump would literally slaughter her.

Put down that tablet and open a dictionary to learn what "literally" means.

[Landslide Lyndon]

NYT on how Bernie staffers and endorsers are dispersing to various candidates like Beto, Brown and Warren.

As long as Susan Sarandon, Jimmy Dore, and Killer Mike still support him, he is good to go.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wouldn't it be bizzare for Harris to have her HQ in a state she has no connection at all (Georgia)?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Kamala should choose Atlanta. The South will be the backbone of her campaign + she should be investing in a massive effort to turn out POC in the Sun Belt. Abrams came within 50,000 votes with young voters still not matching their usual Presidential share of the electorate. It, Florida, and North Carolina will be important states for her if she wins the nomination.

She will get slaughtered in the midwest if she were to do that.

She will get slaughtered because she will try to mobilize minorities in the South?
I see you have an even lower opinion of rural hicks than Ice Spear.

[Landslide Lyndon]

It's pretty weird to not have your HQ in your home state, I mean Kamala has virtually no ties to Atlanta or Baltimore. Is being in the Eastern timezone that important?

Many candidates in the past have had their HQ in DC or the DC suburbs.  E.g., that's how McCain handled this time zone problem.

Baltimore makes sense for the reason you mention. But Altanta is a head-scratcher.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Atlanta is the de facto capital of black America, it makes sense from that standpoint.

I thought that was Chicago.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wow, O'Malley not running is quite something, given all his early primary state visits and the like.

I think a lot of the minor candidates are realizing they don't have the infrastructure/staff/funds to go anywhere.

Sure.  I guess I wasn't putting O'Malley in the "self aware enough to notice he can't win" category, given that he ran last time despite not having a chance to win.  There are always a bunch of candidates who run despite having no chance.  Why did Gilmore, Partake, Chafee, etc. run last time?  It was obvious to everyone that they couldn't win, but they ran anyway.  I figured O'Malley was a strong bet to do so this time as well, but I guess not.

That's why I think all this talk about 20-25 people running is hyperbolic. At the end of the day many of these minor candidates will realize that an actual campaign is too demanding and costly just to stroke their own ego.