NC-PPP: Burr anonymous, but leads

[pbrower2a]

There's much time left, and in essence Richard Burr must play an eat-the-calendar strategy of avoiding controversial positions. Your guess is as good as mine on whether the national Republican Party will do that.  He's in better shape than Pat Toomey, who has a Senate seat in a state less amenable to Republicans.

But 35% approval is not enough. He will need more to survive politically. Lean R.

Burr has plenty of advantages, but he had better keep most of them.

[pbrower2a]

Same political climate as 2008, Burr loses. Same political climate as 2014, he wins.