UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread

[Phony Moderate]

A thread for general predictions - overall percentages and seat totals, seat-by-seat discussion etc. Probably I'll post some 'competition' thing at some point too.

[Phony Moderate]

Predictions for individual constituencies are probably only worth making once we get to May 11th (deadline for candidate nominations).

[Phony Moderate]

Remember that it looks as if UKIP are only going to field candidates in, at most, half of all seats. So on present polls they'd only get 2-4%. Unless the pollsters are accounting for that fact, which I don't believe is the case.

[Phony Moderate]

SNP 56 seats (-) [SNP gains Edinburgh South to added extra humiliation to Labour, and lose some marginal to the Tories]

Most of the Tory prospects in Scotland are not marginal at the moment.

[Phony Moderate]

Well, it's been a few pages since we've seen this kind of topic brought up.

[Phony Moderate]

Con - 363 (inc. speaker)

362 in that case then.