Civiqs, May 12-14, 1650 RV
Biden 48, Trump 44
Warren 48, Trump 45
These were the only two matchups polled.
Although Civiqs is associated with Daily Kos, they have consistently been one of Trump's better pollsters.
One of Trumps better pollsters, however the results are very consistent and almost very fluctuate.
Maybe one of Trump's better pollsters at the federal level, but their state-by-state results are kind of bad for Trump actually. They have him at -11 net approval in Michigan, -9 in Pennsylvania and North Carolina and -5 in Georgia and Wisconsin, and those numbers don't move around all *that* much.
I've seen some people wary of Civiqs' results because they show so little movement in their polls compared to say, even the 538 average (which itself is fairly stable), but my gut feeling is that they seem to be on to something-- their method of polling seems less subject to non-response biases which fluctuate up and down and tend to make polls bounce around more. The few individual races they've polled they pretty much nailed-- they got NJ Senate and VA Gov in 2019 right within a point or so, and showed an incredibly stable trend-line in doing so... i.e. they basically correctly predicted the margins for months in advance. I believe they also consistently had Cruz +1 to +2 over Beto, which turned out to be right, and leading up to that election people were largely scoffing at polls that had it that close.
