Pretty Damning Indictment of Nate Silver (user search)
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  Pretty Damning Indictment of Nate Silver (search mode)
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Author Topic: Pretty Damning Indictment of Nate Silver  (Read 7045 times)
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Harry
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Posts: 35,632
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« on: October 23, 2012, 05:06:06 PM »
A model that isn't wrong about approximately 1/6 of the things it gives an 85% chance to is worthless. Also his number is always the final probability of winning, not what it would be that day. He calculates the today number in the Nowcast.
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