west va or south carolina? (user search)
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  west va or south carolina? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: which would obama win first?
#1
wv
 
#2
sc
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 50

Author Topic: west va or south carolina?  (Read 2442 times)
Alexander Hamilton
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,167
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: -5.13

« on: August 02, 2009, 02:29:42 AM »

SC was closer than all McCain states but MO, MT, GA and AZ.

And SC is growing in population, which should give it a newer voter base, slightly, than WV, of course

The problem with "closeness" is that it sort of depends on the moveability of voters.  If Obama won by 3% instead of 7%, would he have lost South Carolina by that much more, or would the totals have moved much more substantively in places like Ohio and Pennsylvania?

Nailed it. That sums up most of the Southern states, like SC, and Alabama, and Mississippi. far too polarized of an electorate to experience a large swing.
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