Next election predictions (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 12, 2024, 01:40:41 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Next election predictions (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Next election predictions  (Read 7343 times)
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« on: January 01, 2011, 12:29:34 AM »

Palin and Huckabee don't run.

The nomination is a fight between Gingrich, Romney, and 2 of the following (Thune, Daniels, or Pawlenty). People like Pataki, Cain, and Johnson occassionally steal the spotlight, but it doesn't last into any solid wins.

There will be another economic crash tied to the debt likely when China cuts us off with loans. If it happens before 2012 Obama is defeated as long as republicans do as they promised in Congress 2012 (balanced budgets, repeal obamacare, tax cuts, entitlement reform) if they just act still as the party of No instead of doing something, then it's a tossup. If the crash doesn't happen by November, Obama is likely to be reelected unless he is defeated in the debates hands down (aka Gingrich...Romney possibly could pull it off, as well as Thune or Daniels but this needs to be a slap in the face to Obama).

Republicans barely retake the Senate and maintain the House with roughly the same numbers as 2010 (though they may lose a few seats).

Truly I believe Gingrich will win and pick a young running mate or new face to the national stage such as Thune, Christie, McDonnell, or even Daniels or Rubio.

So let's see how this plays out
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 01, 2011, 02:09:49 AM »

Well there's your calls, we'll see who's right.

And I don't recall massive strikes when the Bush tax cuts were inacted to avoid a further economic meltdown...
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 01, 2011, 07:23:39 PM »

There will be another economic crash tied to the debt likely when China cuts us off with loans.
This makes no sense.  The United States and China's economies are too deeply intertwined.  More likely the US economy  will continue sluggish growth until 2012.

I see it likely that China stops financing our debt, I don't actually mean they will cut us off 100% economically, they just will stop investing in a country that shows zero ability to return the money, unless of course they have some scheme that ends up with them practically owning the country. But why would they want to continue dishing out money when their economy is nonstop booming, they already hold a large amount of our debt, and they are really moving to a developed nation that could be dependent on itself for consumers soon. This is a ticking time bomb.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« Reply #3 on: January 01, 2011, 11:32:52 PM »

Well there's your calls, we'll see who's right.

And I don't recall massive strikes when the Bush tax cuts were inacted to avoid a further economic meltdown...

If the tax cuts are entirely for upper-income people and they are financed with new taxes that hit the non-rich hard or are in a package that eviscerates the minimum wage, then things can get ugly.

When was the platform taxes solely for the richest? It has been for everyone as low as possible in every area. That's what I'm talking about. And only rich tax cuts would never make it through Congress
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« Reply #4 on: January 02, 2011, 07:07:49 PM »

Rubio is unlikely, though he would be a possible candidate especially since Gingrich is really pushing for Latino support. Though he wouldn't get it and wouldn't be higher on anyone else's list. But people like him would be considered (though you don't want a Palin thing all over again)
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« Reply #5 on: January 03, 2011, 12:19:32 AM »

Well there's your calls, we'll see who's right.

And I don't recall massive strikes when the Bush tax cuts were inacted to avoid a further economic meltdown...

If the tax cuts are entirely for upper-income people and they are financed with new taxes that hit the non-rich hard or are in a package that eviscerates the minimum wage, then things can get ugly.

When was the platform taxes solely for the richest? It has been for everyone as low as possible in every area. That's what I'm talking about. And only rich tax cuts would never make it through Congress

Situation possible but not certain. I start with the assumption that our super-rich are selfish abusers of whatever power they get over us. I also assume that the GOP will go further to the economic Right until such is stopped by the reality of electoral losses.

and this includes everyone who has worked their way up to wealth throughout an entire lifetime of hard work and commitment no matter the situation?
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« Reply #6 on: January 05, 2011, 09:09:10 PM »

Well now Bachmann is making noise. Every tea partier wants in, they will crowd the field and eventually will be forced to back someone more conservative than romney who can win the primary like Gingrich, Thune, or something
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


« Reply #7 on: January 06, 2011, 11:10:37 PM »

So he don't think Romney will get it, but think he'll get it?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.036 seconds with 12 queries.