Does Obama stand a chance in Michigan?

[dmmidmi]

I would like to know if Kathleen Sebilius is popular in Ohio. Why? http://www.ohiohistorycentral.org/entry.php?rec=1774

There seems to be this assumption that Mitt Romney is popular in Michigan because his dad was governor, forgetting that he has written stuff like this: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/opinion/19romney.html

Obama's win in Michigan was so wide not just because of the economic recession, but because McCain effectively pulled all of his resources out of the state in early October. When you tell the people of a state that you're not fighting for their votes anymore, you're going to lose big. This is reflected in the fact that my very conservative congressional district went Democrat for the first time in years.

I feel like it would take something fairly big for MI to swing Republican next time around.