Belgian Politics & Elections: Federal, regional & EP elections on June 9, 2024 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 07:55:45 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  Belgian Politics & Elections: Federal, regional & EP elections on June 9, 2024 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Do you think Chez Nous will get seats?
#1
No, they won't get even 2,5% in Wallonia and Brussels  (what would happen accoding to recent polls)
 
#2
No, but they will get votes in the 2,5%-4,99% rango in Wallonia and/or Brussels
 
#3
No. They will pass the 5% threshold in Wallonia and/or Brussels, but somehow they won't get seats.
 
#4
Yes, they will get 1-2 seats
 
#5
Yes, they will get more than 2 seats
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 19

Author Topic: Belgian Politics & Elections: Federal, regional & EP elections on June 9, 2024  (Read 150240 times)
wnwnwn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,105
Peru


« on: December 27, 2023, 04:41:01 PM »

[size=14.6667pt]In June 2024, this european country will have another federal elections, when disputes between multiple parties to gain seats on each province of one of the two 'lenguage fronts' (Flanders and Wallonia/Brussels) will detwrminate the composition of the House of Representatives. Before thinking about coallitions, most parties will focus on its campaing in their front. The exception is the Workers' Party (PTV/PVDA), which competes in both french and dutch/flemish speaking areas. This left wing party positions itseft clearly on the left of both the socialdemocrats and green parties as the The Left – GUE/NGL (the european group of DieLinke and LFI) member party in Belgium.[/size]

[size=14.6667pt]Accoding yo recent polls, this party is expected to win 19 seats, an increase of 7 over the 2019 elections. These same  polls expect a lost of 4 seats by the green parties and the fall of the conservative-liberal Open Vld party. They also see the flemish nationalist and ECR member N-VA losing ground to flemish nationalist and I&D member VB.

The Flemish seats accoding to that poll would distribute as:
VB 25 (+7)
N-VA 21 (-4)
Vooruit 11 (+2)
CD&V 10 (-2)
Groen 7 (-1)
WP 6 (+3)
Open Vld 5 (-7)

It seems that in Flanders, both the nationalist right and the left benefit from a polarization that hurts the center right.

Vooruit (the flemish soc-dem party) has released an ad attacking the nationalist right:
[/size]


The Worker's Party still hasn't released ads, but they film videos agaisnt the governing coalition (which includes Vooruit, Groen, the flemish center right parties and the french speking socdem, green and lib-con parties).




The ECR and I&D right seem to not be much popular in Wallonia despite of its relative success in Flanders and neightbor countries. The leading party of this type (right wing populist for some, nationalist right for some, far right for the rest) in the region is Chez Nous, which seems to be a I&D type of party. As one would expect, this party is open on its opposition of inmigration and islam. By now, this party wouldn't be getting any seat, but that could maybe change in the near future.





Logged
wnwnwn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,105
Peru


« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2023, 11:03:19 PM »

Hello OP, please fix the font/codes of your post Smiley For Belgian politics and elections we already have this thread. Perhaps the mods can merge your post with the existing thread.

Based on previous iterations on the same theme I don't expect Chez Nous to get in, but who knows - the right-wing anti-immigration wave arrived to Spain and Portugal, at some point it will come to Wallonia too.

It would be fine
Logged
wnwnwn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,105
Peru


« Reply #2 on: January 16, 2024, 01:19:30 PM »
« Edited: January 16, 2024, 01:39:14 PM by wnwnwn »



How much every party spends on social media ads (facebook)

In dutch-speaking Belgium, the far right spends the most followed by the conservative party (N-VA) and the marxists (PVDA).

In french-speaking Belgium, the far left (PTB) spends the most, followed by center/center-left Les engagés and MR (conservative-liberal).

Vooruit introduced legislation attempting to ban political ads on social media, while the Greens call for a cap on spending.

Is Worker's Party spending a lot or it only seems that way because other parties have not fully started their campaings yet?
Logged
wnwnwn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,105
Peru


« Reply #3 on: February 06, 2024, 02:07:34 PM »

I only did the poll on Chez Nous as I was surprised when I found how walloon politics seemed to avoid the 'right wing populism'/'anti inmigration right' so common on other multi-party european countries. Not that I support them.
On farmer issues, I suppose the Workers Party will try to get the leftists voters sympathetic to the farmers protests.
Logged
wnwnwn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,105
Peru


« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2024, 10:22:07 PM »

Ad from PS:



A typical ad of "results in goverment", but a bit too long and the music isn´t the most adequate.

Ad from Vooruit:



Short and decent.
The problem is that they have also released a cringe song.




Logged
wnwnwn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,105
Peru


« Reply #5 on: June 02, 2024, 04:16:21 PM »

Ad from PS:


A typical ad of "results in goverment", but a bit too long and the music isn´t the most adequate.

Ad from Vooruit:


Short and decent.
The problem is that they have also released a cringe song.





I've never seen all of those ads, including that song - which is LOL the most cringe thing i've ever seen.

It's what I found on Youtube.
What do they run on TV?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 12 queries.