Canada 2011 Official Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Canada 2011 Official Thread  (Read 136597 times)
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #50 on: April 26, 2011, 02:50:06 PM »
Quote from: Verily on April 26, 2011, 07:41:04 AM
Quote from: TheNewTeddy on April 26, 2011, 12:29:36 AM
Quote from: Hatman on April 25, 2011, 10:54:12 PM
There are so many issues with Teddy's map, I don't know where to start.

Vaudreuil-Soulanges voting Tory?
Saskatoon-Humboldt voting NDP before Rosetown-Biggar?
The Liberals picking up Churchill River?

The first is an error, the second two are correct on the math

Hmmm?

Saskatoon-Humboldt, 2008: CON: 53.8; NDP: 27.8
Saskatoon-Rosetown, 2008: CON: 45.4; NDP: 44.5

I fail to see how "the math" would have Humboldt fall first.

Same for Desnethe. 2008: CON: 46.7; LIB: 30.3

Are you really predicting a big swing from the Conservatives to the Liberals?
Pankiw
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #51 on: April 26, 2011, 03:17:07 PM »
Pankiw's been an idiot for quite a while, and people still vote for him.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #52 on: April 26, 2011, 08:41:29 PM »
None of these ridings had a chance of going NDP even if the NDP was sitting on 40 seats.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #53 on: April 27, 2011, 06:09:42 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on April 27, 2011, 03:18:52 PM
Quote from: José Peterson on April 27, 2011, 03:10:30 PM
These projections, especially ones from Grénier, basically get destroyed in the current post (linked earlier in this thread I believe) from Alice Funke at the Pundits Guide, who is a way better and more numerate commentator.

It was a few pages back, so in case anyone missed it: http://www.punditsguide.ca/2011/04/rubber-hits-the-road-for-parties-and-seat-projectors/
And, in case anyone missed it, one of the only ones with experience is... ME! http://www.ridingbyriding.ca/
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #54 on: April 28, 2011, 03:23:00 AM »
"peak" means the top. The NDP has room to grow.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #55 on: April 28, 2011, 12:04:02 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on April 28, 2011, 11:37:16 AM
Wait, I know it's not a federal question, but how can BC have a premier that's not even an MPP? That's possible?
There is no law requiring anyone from the government to be an MP/MLA. Only tradition. And tradition has, time and time again, allowed for Premiers and PM's to be such, so long as they run for an open seat at a reasonably soon opportunity.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #56 on: April 28, 2011, 09:23:35 PM »
In all seriousness, we are looking at between 25, and 50 NDP seats in Quebec.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #57 on: April 29, 2011, 04:34:41 AM »
Layton
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #58 on: April 29, 2011, 04:06:56 PM »
http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canadavotes2011/story/2011/04/29/cv-election-coverage-schedule.html
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #59 on: April 30, 2011, 12:13:04 AM »
Quote from: 猫主席 on April 30, 2011, 12:03:12 AM
Next up on Sun News: Is Layton really born in Montreal? Where is his birth certificate? Stay tuned.
Maybe he wasn't born in Canada at all! That would mean he can't be Prime Min... oh wait, yea that's right, our country is not silly like that Cheesy
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #60 on: April 30, 2011, 02:30:37 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on April 30, 2011, 01:05:08 PM
More as a note of mild interest than owt significant, but Election Prediction Project has finally bowed to the polls (somewhat) and festooned its Quebec page with lightening bolts.
Happened the day after I took a pot shot at them from my website.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #61 on: May 01, 2011, 02:37:20 AM »
NDP has used green in Ontario and PEI, and Purple in Alberta. Mostly in the 90's.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #62 on: May 01, 2011, 04:56:58 AM »
Final Projection Up! http://www.ridingbyriding.ca/
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #63 on: May 01, 2011, 04:13:50 PM »
May Day here is more associated with Soviet Tanks. Labour day is in September.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #64 on: May 01, 2011, 04:31:30 PM »
Decima, Ipsos, Angus Reid, Environics. They all may, or may not, come out with last minute polls.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #65 on: May 01, 2011, 10:14:22 PM »
Thoughts on if osama will affect the result?
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #66 on: May 02, 2011, 02:55:41 AM »
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #67 on: May 02, 2011, 10:47:58 AM »
http://twitter.com/#!/search/turnout%20%23elxn41 this is the bext I can find.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #68 on: May 02, 2011, 12:03:01 PM »
Elections Canada plans for 100% turnout every election, hence the lack of long lines.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #69 on: May 02, 2011, 05:54:54 PM »
I'm drinking already. The waiting is killing me.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #70 on: May 03, 2011, 02:11:53 AM »
1993

2011 is just following up on 2004

2004 was just a mid-way point between 2011 and 1993.

But 1993 was just a response to the failure after 1984.

And 1984 was a response to the signing of the Constitution without Quebec's name on it.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #71 on: May 04, 2011, 04:16:49 PM »
I'm getting serious pagebreak from that link

edit - nevermind, new page! Cheesy
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #72 on: May 04, 2011, 05:03:11 PM »
Looks like Mulcair has stolen Vegas' spotlight by making a fool of himself, implying that Obama is lying when he says he has Bin Laden photos.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #73 on: May 04, 2011, 05:12:26 PM »
Like this: http://www.elections.ca/scripts/fedrep/main_e.htm
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #74 on: May 04, 2011, 11:42:03 PM »
http://goo.gl/maps/Ms7D I need help with this
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