Which of these 2016 Democratic Candidates do you support?

[leatherface]

If there is a candidates the Democrats coalesce around, it should be Hillary Clinton. My scenario goes like this, Joe Biden will be persuaded by Barack Obama sometime in early 2012, I believe it could be February to swap positions with Hillary Clinton. He will resign the Vice Presidency, be quickly confirmed by the Senate for his new position at the State Department. Obama will invoke the 25th amendment, nominate Clinton for Vice President. Her confirmation prospects are problematic, especially if as current polls predict the House is controlled by Republicans. But I think she should get it, therefore as they enter the election sweep stakes they do so as Incumbents. The Democrats will give Obama and Clinton a coronation at there convention in Charlotte, North Carolina. I think it will be a tough race, but in the end Obama will prevail by a bigger than expected margin of victory (Possibly on the scale of LBJ's 1964 triumph) Clinton will be in the envious position of being free enough to go on extended fund-raiser tours for her expected campaign for the 2016 campaign and like Dick Nixon in '60, Humphrey in '68, Bush in '88 and Gore in 2000 she will be the quaisi incumbent and will encounter as many advantages as disadvantages. I think the Republicans will turn to Jeb Bush as there savior on the basis of his strong convention speech in Tampa in 2012, but also in retrospect after eight years of Obama, George W. Bush will be seen in a more kinder light and Bush is a brand name and therefore not the curse it was years before, Republicans see Jeb Bush as his own man and Hillary Clinton will be under pressure to perform in a way she never expected. Clinton will pick Mark Warner of Virginia to be her ticket mate, while Bush will go with Governor John Kasich of Ohio. The election will hinge on a handful of states and could be a repeat of 2000 for its closeness.

[leatherface]

I disagree!, there would be fatigue from eight years of Obama, as there would have been after George W. Bush, and likewise after Bill Clinton. I can't say who would likely emerge as the winner on Nov. 8, 2016 but it won't be a landslide for either candidate. Both would have appeal and drawbacks in equal proportion. The outcome will hinge on who has a better ground game, but my hunch is Bush will pull it out, on the basis of (i) he would be a challenger, albeit with a brand name (ii) Clinton being a woman, she can come across as shrill (iii) Voters going for a New York Democrat and (iv) Her husband and the Obama approval ratings (v) Economy