Ontario general election 2018 - Results Thread

[DL]

Thunder Bay Superior North went Liberal so an NDP win there would not have prevented a PC majority

[DL]

What are the chances Horwath could eventually become the NDP's national leader?

Elle ne parle pas francais

[DL]

FYI when party leaders make pit stops in a series of ridings the day before Election Day it’s not about reaching individual voters in those ridings. It’s about creating nice images to appear on the news that night and to give a last minute pep talk to volunteers. If Horwath makes a 10-minute stop in Davenport (for example) it’s purposely kept very short because you want the volunteers focused on door knocking and not distracted for too long by having the leader visit the campaign office. The leader does not go door to door at all and I doubt is any of those whistle stops make any difference whatsoever to the outcome in those individual ridings.

So the fact that Horwath made a 10 minute stop in Davenport and didnt make a 10 minute stop in Scarborough Centre is totally irrelevant rto the outcome

[DL]

My home poll in University Rosedale went:

NDP 865
OLP 221
PC 156
Green 76

How do you like that!!

[DL]

If the thousand islands are in "Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes" what islands are in "Kingston and the islands"?

[DL]

Christine Elliott would have easily win Etobicoke Centre and Etobicoke Lakeshore as those are both ridings where the PC vote is quite upper middle class. Etobicoke North would have also gone PC if Ford were the candidate

[DL]

I would add Don Valley East here possibly since the PCs had a better(star) candidate, but the Liberals would have held on to places like Scarborough Agincourt, maybe even Scarborough Centre but I think Sc.C is a little swingy.

Keep in mind that the PCs won Scarborough Rouge River in a byelection and drove the Liberals into 3rd place and that was when Patrick Brown was leader (not Ford)...Scarborough-Agincourt was already looking like low hanging fruit for the PCs long before there was any so-called "Ford Nation" effect

[DL]

Scarborough-Agincourt was already looking like low hanging fruit for the NDP long before there was any so-called "Ford Nation" effect

I think you mean the PCs?  Agincourt was never "low hanging fruit" for the NDP.

Corrected

[DL]

There is also a large Black community in the western part of St. Paul's around Vaughan Road and it seems to have voted heavily NDP...and its worth noting that the NDP now has 4 Black MPPs

[DL]

The NDP could very easily have had four more Black MPPs, not only did Felicia Samuel lose narrowly in Scarborough-Rouge, but there were also relatively narrow losses by Black candidates in Kitchener South-Hespeler, Cambridge and Mississauga-Malton

[DL]

TO really doesn't have a "Dundas" equivalent.  It's almost like an Ontario version of a New England town that later got absorbed into a larger city.

Swansea?

[DL]

Something is messed up in Scarborough