Ontario municipal elections, 2018 (Oct 22)

[DL]

In 2015 Wynne was still quite popular in Ontario, she had won a majority juts a year earlier.

[DL]

Mainstreet is doing ward polls in Toronto. Considering they're now the size of ridings, they won't be entirely trashy (but still a bit trashy) like council polls usually are.

Humber River-Black Creek: Councillor Anthony Perruzza is in the lead with 30%, with Councillor (and crazy man) Giorgio Mammoliti and progressive challenger Tiffany Ford tied in second at 21%. This is very good news, because Mammoliti is a terrible human being and needs to go. Nice to see that the progressives (Perruzza and Ford) are not splitting the vote. Ford is not related to Doug Ford btw. There is another right wing candidate, Deanna Sgro, who is the daughter Liberal MP Judy Sgro. She's at 17%.

Actually Perruzza and Ford are splitting the progressive/anti-Mammoliti vote - its just that Mammoliti's support is low enough that it may not matter. These polls are largely a measure of name recognition. Mammoliti and Perruzza are both incumbents on city council though the new ward has more of Mammoliti's old ward than Peruzza's. Ford is the current school trustee for the area and Deanna Sgro was the Liberal candidate in the corresponding provincial seat in June - she came in third and her mother is the federal MP.

[DL]

Brampton: Mainstreet has Patemkin 44, Jeffrey 39.

No one seems to be able to give me an answer as to who New Democrats in Brampton should back for mayor. Keep in mind that the Ontario NDP has three out of five Brampton seats. But Linda Jeffrey is a former Ontario Liberal MPP and Brown lf course was PC leader.

My take is that Jeffrey is a very partisan Liberal - but she also seems to be getting covert support from Ford because Ford's people hate Brown so much. I have no idea what actual issues separate Brown from Jeffrey - but as an NDP supporter i guess that all things being equal, Id rather see Brown win because it would drive Doug Ford crazy and "the enemy of my enemy is my friend"

[DL]

Humber River-Black Creek (Mainstreet):

Peruzza: 33%
Ford: 21%
Mammolitti: 20%
Sgro: 15%

Oh, I would LOVE it if Mammolitti finished third!

Never mind third, I want him to finish FOURTH!!

[DL]

Ok well then i will be happy whatever the outcome in Brampton. If Jeffrey wins I'll be happy since she seems mildly progressive and she is the choice of the NDP MPPs there. If Brown wins then i will be happy for no other reason than that it will drive Doug Ford nuts.

In fact, if Brown wins the Brampton mayoralty i wouldnt put it past Ford to recall the legislature and bring in a bill abolishing the city of Brampton and putting it under direct Ontario government trusteeship

[DL]

Bailao votes with the progressive block about 98% of the time