I think this only helps Boyle out. Remember I said he has the lowest ceiling, but the highest floor. While Boyle will struggle mightily in Montgomery Co., he can consolidate his NE Philly/Union GOTV support and have the rest of them in a bloodbath. He may come out on top with winning less than 35% of the vote.
Agreed. If Margolies just never takes off, I think Boyle takes it. But Margolies won't be left stranded by the Clintons. Though with the Clintons, I guess you never really know even when you're dealing with in-laws.
Margolies' lack of fundraising shocked me. I thought she'd be the queen in that department. I have to say looking at the Philly portion of the district the Clintons could have an impact in the minority portions of the district plus people who admire the Clintons a lot. Not to mention Boyle would need parts of NE Philly that went to Bob Brady in the last redraw such as Tacony and the River Wards. The X Factor here is what will the Clintons do for Margolies? Bottom line Leach has the progressives and likely younger voters not attached to unions, Boyle has union members and Reagan Democrats (provided they didn't die or switch parties). I think a stronger MM hurts Boyle in NE Philly.
FTR, I'm still leaning Leach with Boyle a close 2nd.
