With the Sunbelt neo conservative/goldwaterite wing being defeated twice since 1964...
I think Ford and Dole Battle it out in 84.
Ford likely winning because he's had the job once.
You have to give Reagan credit, we had a recession in 82, but that was due-a lot- to contractionary monetary policy which lowered interest rates.
Carter wouldn't have done that....the tax cut wouldn't have happened either, 4 more years of stagflation...so the democrats would probably still have a bad economy in 84...
allowing either Ford or Dole to win.
I'm going to have the disagree with you on this to a point. Yeah our taxes were too hihg, but Reagan lowered them WAAAY too much and in favro the wealthy even worse than Bush II is now.