Predict the remaining Feburary races (user search)
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Author Topic: Predict the remaining Feburary races  (Read 7425 times)
Averroës Nix
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,289
United States


« on: February 08, 2012, 07:09:26 PM »

Maine
Paul 34%
Romney 28%
Santorum 25%
Gingrich 13%

Michigan
39% Santorum
36% Romney
13% Paul
11% Gingrich

Arizona

30% Gingrich
28% Santorum
28% Romney
12% Paul

Not a lot of evidence to go on, so I may as well be optimistic. Realistically, Arizona is a likely Romney win, and Michigan either lean-Romney or a toss-up.

Expecting Romney to win Maine seems rational, but it's hard to believe that he'll do well in a caucus state that he hasn't even visited. After last night, I'll call it a Romney-Paul toss-up - though I wouldn't be surprised if the winner had under 30%, or if Romney finished third.
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