It looks more and more that it is GOP +9 - and that's it - one short.
not sure how you're calculating that, are you just assuming the absolute range is +6-12 and splitting the difference? I think the difference between +7 and +11 is a swing of only five points and there is still two weeks to go.
No, I am just counting the races up one by one on my digits, until I hit the West coast and stop counting. It is my gut of how things will go, after examining the polls, etc.
I'm hoping your gut is right
, I've been disheartened by the latest polls.