United States Senate Redistricting 2012

[Gass3268]

That's all for tonight! Now to watch the spin on CNN and MSNBC.

[Gass3268]

I really like districts 39 and 46; they look good for Blue Dogs.

I figured you'd like those two. Region 47 is another one that a Blue Dog could do well in. The average includes Lugar numbers which really pushes the numbers toward the Republicans.

[Gass3268]

I really like districts 39 and 46; they look good for Blue Dogs.

I figured you'd like those two. Region 47 is another one that a Blue Dog could do well in. The average includes Lugar numbers which really pushes the numbers toward the Republicans.

That's a democrat jerrymander. Plus I wouldn't call it Birch Bayh. He got Quayleslid.  It'd be better to call it Otis Bowen. Or even naming it after Lugar.

How about Eugene Debs?

[Gass3268]

Region 48: Johnny Appleseed/Fort Wayne/Michiana

State Percentage: IN-54.0%/MI-32.5%/OH-13.5%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Fort Wayne, IN 2) South Bend, IN 3) Kalamazoo, MI
Obama: 48.2%
McCain: 51.8%
Democratic Average: 42.2%
Republican Average: 57.8% 
Obama Swing: 6.0%   
PVI: R+5.5
White Percentage: 87.8%
Black Percentage: 5.4%
Hispanic Percentage: 4.4%
Asian Percentage: 1.1%
Native American Percentage: 0.3%
Other Percentage: 1.0%
Current Senators: None 

[Gass3268]

Region 49: Stevie Wonder/Detroit/St. Clair Lake Coastline

State Percentage: MI-100%  
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Detroit, MI 2) Warren, MI 3) Sterling Heights, MI
Obama: 67.2%
McCain: 32.8%
Democratic Average: 56.2%
Republican Average: 43.8%  
Obama Swing: 11.0%
PVI: D+11
White Percentage: 63.1%
Black Percentage: 28.2%
Hispanic Percentage: 3.3%
Asian Percentage: 3.6%
Native American Percentage: 0.3%
Other Percentage: 1.5%
Current Senators: Carl Levin (D-MI)

Here is a better view of how this district looks:

Blue is Region 49

[Gass3268]

Region 50: President Gerald Ford/Grand Rapids/Eastern Lake Michigan Shoreline

State Percentage: MI-87.7%/WI-12.3%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Grand Rapids, MI 2) Wyoming, MI 3) Kentwood, MI
Obama: 50.5%
McCain: 49.5%
Democratic Average: 40.8%
Republican Average: 59.2%  
Obama Swing: 9.7%
PVI: R+5
White Percentage: 87.9%
Black Percentage: 3.4%
Hispanic Percentage: 3.5%
Asian Percentage: 1.2%
Native American Percentage: 1.3%
Other Percentage: 1.1%
Current Senators: None  

[Gass3268]

Region 51: William C. Durant/Lansing/Lake Huron Coastline

State Percentage: MI-100%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Lansing, MI 2) Ann Arbor, MI 3) Flint, MI
Obama: 56.8%
McCain: 43.2%
Democratic Average: 46.5%
Republican Average: 53.5% 
Obama Swing: 10.3%
PVI: D+1
White Percentage: 83.4%  
Black Percentage: 8.9%
Hispanic Percentage: 3.5%
Asian Percentage: 2.6%
Native American Percentage: 0.4%
Other Percentage: 1.3%
Current Senators: Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)

[Gass3268]

I really like districts 39 and 46; they look good for Blue Dogs.

I figured you'd like those two. Region 47 is another one that a Blue Dog could do well in. The average includes Lugar numbers which really pushes the numbers toward the Republicans.

That's a democrat jerrymander. Plus I wouldn't call it Birch Bayh. He got Quayleslid.  It'd be better to call it Otis Bowen. Or even naming it after Lugar.

I would put President Benjamin Harrison. This fits more with Indiana.

Good choice! I made that change. I also went back and changed the James Brown region to the President Jimmy Carter region.

[Gass3268]

Region 52: Chief Micanopy/Tallahassee/The Panhandle

State Percentage: FL-73.6%/GA-26.4%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Tallahassee, FL 2) Gainesville, FL 3) Albany, GA
Obama: 41.2%
McCain: 58.5%
Democratic Average: 45.1%
Republican Average: 54.9% 
Obama Swing: -3.9%
PVI: R+7.5
White Percentage: 71.1%
Black Percentage: 20.1%
Hispanic Percentage: 5.2%
Asian Percentage: 1.9%
Native American Percentage: 0.5%
Other Percentage: 1.3%
Current Senators: Saxby Chambliss (R-GA)

[Gass3268]

Region 53: Louis Armstrong/Memphis/Mississippi River Delta

State Percentage: LA-33.6%/MS-33.1%/TN-31.6%/AR-1.6%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Memphis, TN 2) New Orleans, LA 3) Baton Rouge, LA
Obama: 61.3%
McCain: 38.7%
Democratic Average: 58.5%
Republican Average: 41.5% 
Obama Swing: 2.8%
PVI: D+9.5 
White Percentage: 43.3% (Minority Majority Region) 
Black Percentage: 49.8% (Black Plurality)
Hispanic Percentage: 4.0%
Asian Percentage: 1.9%
Native American Percentage: 0.2%
Other Percentage: 0.9%
Current Senators: Mary Landrieu (D-LA)

Here is a better view of how the bottom of this district looks:

Yellow is Region 53

[Gass3268]

Region 54: Senator Robert M La Follette, Sr./Milwaukee/Western Lake Michigan Shoreline and Western Upland

State Percentage: WI-100%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Milwaukee, WI 2) Madison, WI 3) Racine, WI 
Obama: 58.7%
McCain: 41.3%
Democratic Average: 50.3%
Republican Average: 49.7% 
Obama Swing: 8.4%
PVI: D+4
White Percentage: 81.1%
Black Percentage: 9.0%
Hispanic Percentage: 6.2%
Asian Percentage: 2.4%
Native American Percentage: 0.4%
Other Percentage: 1.0%
Current Senators: None 

[Gass3268]

Region 55: Bob Dylan/Rochester/Northern Highland and Iron Range

State Percentage: WI-66.5%/MN-33.5%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Rochester, MN 2) Green Bay, WI 3) Duluth, MN
Obama: 54.4%
McCain: 45.6%
Democratic Average: 48.2%
Republican Average: 51.8%   
Obama Swing: 6.2%
PVI: D+0.5%
White Percentage: 93.1%
Black Percentage: 1.2%
Hispanic Percentage: 2.2%
Asian Percentage: 1.5%
Native American Percentage: 1.2%
Other Percentage: 0.8%
Current Senators: Ron Johnson (R-WI)

[Gass3268]

Region 56: Jesse Owens/Birmingham/Alabama Piedmont

State Percentage: AL-100%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Birmingham, AL 2) Montgomery, AL 3) Huntsville, AL
Obama: 38.8%
McCain: 61.2%
Democratic Average: 44.3%
Republican Average: 55.7% 
Obama Swing: -.5.5%
PVI: R+9
White Percentage: 69.9%
Black Percentage: 23.9%
Hispanic Percentage: 3.6%
Asian Percentage: 1.2%
Native American Percentage: 0.5%
Other Percentage: 1.0%
Current Senators: Richard Shelby (R-AL)

[Gass3268]

Region 57: Senator Hubert H Humphrey/Minneapolis/Mouth of the Minnesota River

State Percentage: MN-100%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Minneapolis, MN 2) St. Paul, MN 3) Bloomington, MN
Obama: 57.9% 
McCain: 42.1% 
Democratic Average: 55.7%
Republican Average: 44.3% 
Obama Swing: 2.2%
PVI: D+6
White Percentage: 81.3
Black Percentage: 6.6%
Hispanic Percentage: 4.6%
Asian Percentage: 5.5%
Native American Percentage: 0.6%
Other Percentage: 1.5%
Current Senators: Al Franken (D-MN), Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)

Here is a better view of how this district looks:

Blue is Region 57

[Gass3268]

Region 58: President Herbert Hoover/Rockford/The Corn Belt

State Percentage: IL-60.1%/IA-39.9%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Rockford, IL 2) Cedar Rapids, IA 3) Peoria, IL
Obama: 56.2%
McCain: 43.8%
Democratic Average: 46.8%
Republican Average: 53.2% 
Obama Swing: 9.4%
PVI: D+1
White Percentage: 87.8%
Black Percentage: 4.9%
Hispanic Percentage: 4.5%
Asian Percentage: 1.7%
Native American Percentage: 0.2%
Other Percentage: 0.9%
Current Senators: None 

[Gass3268]

Region 59: Mark Twain/St. Louis/Mouth of the Missouri River 

State Percentage MO-73.6%/IL-26.4%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) St. Louis, MO 2) O’Fallon, MO 3) St. Charles, MO
Obama: 57.4%
McCain: 42.6%
Democratic Average: 58.3%
Republican Average: 41.7% 
Obama Swing: -0.9%
PVI: D+7.5
White Percentage: 78.5% 
Black Percentage: 16.0%
Hispanic Percentage: 2.2%
Asian Percentage: 2.1%
Native American Percentage: 0.2%
Other Percentage: 1.1%
Current Senators: None

[Gass3268]

Region 60: President Abraham Lincoln/Mouth of the Ohio River

State Percentage: IL-50.7%/MO-16.1%/TN-11.4%/IN-8.2%/AR-7.3%/KY-6.4%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Springfield, IL 2) Champaign, IL 3) Jonesboro, AR
Obama: 44.1%
McCain: 55.9%
Democratic Average: 33.6%
Republican Average: 66.4% 
Obama Swing: 10.5%
PVI: R+11.5
White Percentage: 88.2%
Black Percentage: 7.4%
Hispanic Percentage: 2.0%
Asian Percentage: 1.3%
Native American Percentage: 0.3%
Other Percentage: 0.8%
Current Senators: Dick Durban (D-IL) 

[Gass3268]

That's all for tonight! I'll be finishing up the Deep South in the next set of updates before moving into Texas.

[Gass3268]

Ah, 60... nice name with Abe Lincoln, but it most definitely won't suit my politics.

Yeah, Southern Illinois kind of got up in my Midwest "Let's see what's left over district." I have one other district that is like that out west. I also thought it was cool that the district named after Honest Abe has 2 Northern states, 2 Border states and 2 Confederate states. 

[Gass3268]

Wow at 53! I'm not sure how I feel about it; its certainly interesting though. Culturally, I think NOLA would be a bit out of place, but if you're aiming to get the black population up, it makes sense. Mary Landrieu could probably hold it against a primary challenger; her dad helped to desegregate NOLA, so black voters have always been loyal to the Landrieus.

I can see the cultural issue, but I really felt like African American's deserved at least 2 districts in the South. So that was my goal with this region and the inter-city Atlanta region. I have a few ideas on what I want to do with the primary election in this region.

[Gass3268]

Region 61: President Harry S Thurman/Kansas City/Missouri River Valley

State Percentage: MO-61.5%/KS-38.5%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Kansas City, MO 2) Overland Park, KS 3) Kansas City, KS
Obama: 50.9%
McCain: 49.1%
Democratic Average: 51.9%
Republican Average: 48.1% 
Obama Swing: -1.0%
PVI: D+1
White Percentage: 80.8%
Black Percentage: 9.5%
Hispanic Percentage: 5.7%
Asian Percentage: 2.1%
Native American Percentage: 0.5%
Other Percentage: 1.4%
Current Senators:  Claire McCaskill (D-MO), Jeff Moran (R-KS) 

[Gass3268]

Region 62: Elvis Presley/Mobile/ Black and Pine Belt

State Percentage: AL-54.8%/MS-28.8%/TN-12.8%/GA-3.6% 
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Mobile, AL 2) Columbus, GA 3) Dothan, AL
Obama: 40.3%
McCain: 59.7%
Democratic Average: 43.1%
Republican Average: 56.9% 
Obama Swing: -2.8%
PVI: R+9
White Percentage: 68.3%
Black Percentage: 27.2%
Hispanic Percentage: 2.5%
Asian Percentage: 0.9%
Native American Percentage: 0.7%
Other Percentage: 0.8%
Current Senators: Jeff Sessions (R-AL), Rob Wicker (R-MS)   

[Gass3268]

Region 63: Senator Huey Long/Metairie/Acadiana and Old West Florida

State Percentage: LA-65.8%/MS-34.2%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Metairie, LA 2) Lafayette, LA 3) Gulfport, MS  
Obama: 30.9%
McCain: 69.1%
Democratic Average: 34.5%
Republican Average:  65.5%
Obama Swing: -3.6%
PVI: R+18
White Percentage: 72.8%  
Black Percentage: 20.1%
Hispanic Percentage: 4.1%
Asian Percentage: 1.5%
Native American Percentage: 0.6%
Other Percentage: 1.0%
Current Senators: David Vitter (R-LA)

[Gass3268]

Region 64: President Bill Clinton/Little Rock/Ozarks

State Percentage: AR-64%/MO-36%
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Little Rock, AR 2) Springfield, MO 3) Fayetteville, AR
Obama: 37.5% 
McCain: 62.5%
Democratic Average: 44.6%
Republican Average: 55.6% 
Obama Swing: -7.1%
PVI: R+9.5
White Percentage: 84.4%
Black Percentage: 7.0%
Hispanic Percentage: 4.9%
Asian Percentage: 1.5%
Native American Percentage: 0.8%
Other Percentage: 1.4%
Current Senators: Roy Blunt (R-MO), John Boozman (R-AR), Mark Pryor (D-AR)

[Gass3268]

Region 65: Representative Sam Rayburn/Shreveport/Arklatex

State Percentage: LA-47.5%/TX-31.0%/AR-21.5% 
Three Largest Municipalities: 1) Shreveport, LA 2) Longview, TX 3) Lake Charles, LA
Obama: 37.0%
McCain: 63.0%
Democratic Average: 43.8%
Republican Average: 56.2% 
Obama Swing: -6.8%
PVI: R+10
White Percentage: 68.3%
Black Percentage: 24.6%
Hispanic Percentage: 4.9%
Asian Percentage: 0.8%
Native American Percentage: 0.6%
Other Percentage: 1.0%
Current Senators: None