VA-05: SurveyUSA: Hurt Crushes Perriello (user search)
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  VA-05: SurveyUSA: Hurt Crushes Perriello (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-05: SurveyUSA: Hurt Crushes Perriello  (Read 2731 times)
timmer123
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Posts: 139


« on: July 25, 2010, 12:31:44 AM »



This district's democratic parts ought to be hard to squeeze out... 58-35 sounds unlikely. That's, like, pretty near the Democratic floor. (Though yes, Generic R would usually beat Generic D and a liberal Charlottesville Democrat beating the incumbent here was a hard-to-believe fluke.)

Tiny subsamples are of course liable to throw up errors like these, but I doubt Black turnout will be so low that 24% of the population cast 13% of the votes. Or that Charlottesville turnout will be so low that 18-34s become the most Republican age group.



Considering this district voted 64% Rep 36% Dem in 2004 and 59% Rep to 40% Dem in 2006, this poll believable.
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