SC-ARG Tracking Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud)

[RBH]

Lol whites are not voting for Clinton ARRRRGGG.

You know SC whites are different to NH and IA whites don't you? I don't expect Clinton to win whites in the end, but it won't be the blow-out it was in those contests.

Chuck Todd trying to do envelope math and starting by giving Sanders the same % of whites in SC and NH is amusingly stupid.

Plus, there's gonna be a chunk of voters that are going to end up voting in the R primary on 2/20 and unable to vote in the D Primary on 2/27.

[RBH]

Lol whites are not voting for Clinton ARRRRGGG.

You know SC whites are different to NH and IA whites don't you? I don't expect Clinton to win whites in the end, but it won't be the blow-out it was in those contests.

Chuck Todd trying to do envelope math and starting by giving Sanders the same % of whites in SC and NH is amusingly stupid.

Plus, there's gonna be a chunk of voters that are going to end up voting in the R primary on 2/20 and unable to vote in the D Primary on 2/27.

LOL, is Chuck Todd really that much of a fat moron? If you're going to operate under ridiculous assumptions, then it would be a much better one to split them the same way as IA, not Bernie's quasi home state.

He probably is.. but here's the tweets that inspired my comments on him..

"A little back of the envelope math for SC Dem primary: if Sanders wins 61% of white vote (as he did in NH) he needs 43% of black vote to win

Will have a lot more on the math to focus on in both races on tomorrow's @meetthepress

In the last NBC/WSJ/Marist SC poll, Clinton led Sanders among blacks 74-17... he has a lot of work to do."

Guys like Chuck Todd are in the business of creating horseraces. It's more exciting that way. Todd probably has his MTP job until Luke Russert gets seasoned enough to that that job.

Todd's the guy that bitched all night during IA that "Hillary declared too victory too early" or some BS like that.

[RBH]

Also, once Kasich leaves office in OH, he's free to note that he quietly bought ARG and molded it to be a polling outlet designed to produce pro-Kasich polls.

As for YouGov. Are they gonna release polls whose Margin of Error is under 7% this time?

[RBH]

ARG did put out a Sanders 54/Clinton 38 poll as their final NH poll.

Suffolk and Monmonth had it at Sanders +9 or +10.

And considering some polls had Sanders up by 30 going into the primary, one could indict at least half the NH pollsters for not getting reasonably close to +22.

[RBH]

oh okay, didn't notice that poll came in late...

i'd imagine the people answering phone calls from strangers the day before the NH primary to be slightly different than an overall population