Bush vs. Gore 2000 with no Bush DUI story

[Bo]

Assume that the Bush DUI story is not revealed until after the election. Everything else stays the same. How would this election turn out? Discuss, with maps. Please list the EV, the exact PV, and Bush's victory margin in Florida (both percentagewise and numerically).

[Bo]

Anyone else?

[Bo]

Tell you what a DUI is a learning experience. Bush should have came out with his DUI story in March of that year and not allowed people to forget what his lessons learned were. He should have joined MADD and gotten involved with them somehow. I've gotten a DUI, I've talked to MADD, it is quite an experience to learn from. Had he done that, conservatives who did not vote on election day that year would've seen him as very human and been able to relate to him as a fellow human learning from a mistake. I'm not sure what W was thinking here.

I agree with you here. If the DUI story would have been released sooner, Bush could have responded to it effectively and people would have forgotten about it by election day (similar to how they forgot about Obama attending Reverend Wright's racist church). Thus, Bush Jr. would have won by a larger margin than he did in RL.

[Bo]

I dont think it changes alot. Maybe a few conservatives stayed home but, not that much. Jeb would  still have "delivered" Florida for his little brother.

Yeah, but Bush Jr. might not have needed FL without the DUI story. He might have won IA, OR, NM, and WI (which together have more EV's than Florida).

[Bo]

I had a dewey and it sux. lol

Huh?

[Bo]

Bush would pick up Oregon, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Iowa, and Minnesota.

What do you think the PV and Bush's Florida margin would be?