Which House Upset Surprise is Most Likely? (user search)
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  Which House Upset Surprise is Most Likely? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which House Upset Surprise is Most Likely?
#1
WA-03 Jim Moeller (D) defeats Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R)		  
#2
NJ-02 Dave Cole (D) defeats Rep. Frank LoBiondo (R)		  
#3
CA-39 Brett Murdock (D) defeats Rep. Ed Royce (R)		  
#4
AR-02 Diane Curry (D) defeats Rep. French Hill (R)		  
#5
NM-02 Merrie Lee Soules (D) defeats Rep. Steve Pearce (R)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 26

Author Topic: Which House Upset Surprise is Most Likely?  (Read 857 times)
Vosem
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Posts: 15,641
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
« on: August 14, 2016, 06:04:12 PM »
Royce seems popular enough in CA-39 that it's unlikely for the district to go D as long as he's there, whereas Pearce's district has gone D in the fairly recent past (by double-digits in 2008) and he seems like a bit of a worse fit. Went with New Mexico.

All the others are an order of magnitude less likely.
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