old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,741
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« on: August 11, 2013, 11:55:50 PM » |
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I'm going to assume that in 2016 black turnout in GA drops slightly from 2012 while Hispanic and Asian turnout increase, so we see a statewide electorate a little less whiter than last time.
If that's the case, here's how Hillary wins the state
-run up huge margins in Dekalb, Fulton and Clayton/ win Rockdale, Newton and Henry
-Make Cobb and Gwinnett even closer than last time
- try to get above 25% in Forsyth and Cherokee counties, above 30% in Coweta/Paulding/Hall, above 35% in Fayette
-Break the 30% threshold in north Georgia counties, maybe 35%
-Try to win some of those dixiecrat counties in south Georgia, like Clinch, Telfair, Grady and Ben Hill. She'll never do as well down there as Bill but she can win a few back
All that would probably give the state to Hillary by like a point or two. I don't know if she could do it but it's possible
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