Irish Elections - Referendum, Presidential, and General (polling or byelections)

[YL]

Is Higgins still looking on course to win?

I think I'd vote something like 1. Higgins 2. Norris 3. Davis.

[YL]

So basically all our Irish members vote the same way? Cool.

And are clearly not remotely representative of the Irish electorate.

...except perhaps in their view of Dana.

The Guardian mentions a "poll" with Higgins on 41%, but it looks like they're talking about this, which looks pretty meaningless in terms of the actual election.

[YL]

It certainly looks from the Irish Times live blog that everyone thinks Higgins is going to win.  Norris has apparently conceded to him already.

100% tally in Dublin West

Lab 24.3%
FF 21.7%
Soc 21.0%
FG 14.8%

Other figures not given.

I'd imagine that Labour's lead will only widen with transfers; is that right?

[YL]

28% in Dublin for Ind/Other looks a lot at first glance, but I suppose it's not that surprising (and is subject to all the usual health warnings about margin of error on subsamples).