WI-PPP: Walker (R) would lose the election now

[Dgov]

Remember that this is a PPP poll without their LV screen (Which was about 11 points more Republican than their RV screen), and their last one before the 2010 election was 9 point edge.

In other words, this means if you compare it to their last pre-election poll, Walker's only lost about 5 relative points--which considering he's actually taking on controversial legislation is pretty good for him.

That means that the only reason Barret is doing better now is because PPP's polling different electorates--Walker is tied among people who voted in 2010.

EDIT:  Spaced on PPP polling data

EDIT:  It appears that i was off again.

[Dgov]

LOL, this is actually pretty good for Walker.  Remember that this is a PPP poll without their LV screen (Which was about 11 points more Republican than their RV screen), and their last one before the 2010 election was a tie.

In other words, this means Walker's actually gained relative ground since getting elected in PPP polls, as he's gone from a tie to a 7 point deficit in an electorate that's 11 points more Democrat.

Their last poll before the election had a 53-44 Walker lead with a 34-30 Republican sample.

This poll has a 52-45 Barrett lead with a 33-32 Democratic sample.

Walker lost more ground overall than what the change in the samples might suggest.

The most interesting finding though is that Walker led Independents in the pre-election poll by 54-40, but now he's losing them 44-49.

You caught me before i fixed my mistake.

[Dgov]

PPP's got their follow-up numbers, and it looks pretty decent for Walker.  Democrats and Unions technically "win" every poll, but only by a handful of points each time, and usually within the margin of error.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0301930.pdf