TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,987
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« on: December 03, 2016, 05:04:41 PM » |
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What's striking about fine-grained results in the Northwest is the degree to which working class voters opted for third party candidates rather than voting for Trump, which reminds me of a similar tendency that occurred in 2000. As far as I can tell, there's some sort of correlation between support for third party candidates and the degree to which a community/precinct is working class, at least in Spokane but it appears that this tendency is present in Eugene as well. There are plenty of precincts where the two-party vote share sits at around 80%...
Another striking tendency is the degree to which all sections of the working class, including dirty bohemians/neo-hippies, swung away from Clinton. Trump's support didn't really erode in the section of Eugene that's dirt poor but known for left-wing activist and bohemian lifestyle choices. On the other hand, Clinton's vote share took a beating. This also occurred in Brown's Addition in Spokane, which has a similar feel to it. On the other hand, in Portland, the more bobo parts nearby Hawthorne clearly swung towards Clinton.
Keep up the good work! This is very interesting and revealing stuff, a reminder that Democratic strength in the Northwest stems from the unusual stability of the working class' support for Democratic candidates. Even in this darkest of years, the erosion of Democratic support in the Northwest looks mild in comparison to the rest of the country.
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