SC-1 special election - May 7th

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/316351504674086914

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Great news!

[DrScholl]

Poll results are in

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/03/ppps-first-look-at-the-special-election-in-south-carolinas-1st-congressional-district-finds-a-toss-up-race-democrat-elizabet.html

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[DrScholl]

It's important to note that Linda Ketner came very close in this district in 2008, albeit that district included Horry County and the new one includes Beaufort. And that was against an incumbent with no baggage. Some of Colbert Busch's donors are straight line Republican voters, yet are supportive of her.

[DrScholl]

Colbert Busch is not that far away from 50% against Sanford in the poll, whereas the NV-2 poll had Marshall in the low 40% range. It can be argued that the undecideds would break for Bostic, but as far as Sanford goes, there is no telling how they could break. Plus, Sanford's approvals are horrible, whereas Amodei was never double digits underwater. Sanford vs. Colbert Busch would be a competitive race.

[DrScholl]

New internal poll for Colbert Busch

http://colbertbuschforcongress.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/PollMemo.ECB_.f.040113.pdf

Colbert Busch 47
Sanford 44

Colbert Busch 48
Bostic 39

[DrScholl]

Sanford is a mess. Why is his trespassing on his ex-wife's property?

[DrScholl]

Losing to a Democrat is much more of a blow than losing to another Republican. Sanford has never lost an election as it stands, so I'm sure Jenny wanted it to be as humiliating as possible.

[DrScholl]

New DCCC ad http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gyc0D4tXg5E&feature=player_embedded

[DrScholl]

Sanford is the unprofessional, he runs off to some foreign country on the taxpayers dime and abandoned his job for period of time while doing so, Clinton never did that and he didn't trespass on someone's property, either. I don't blame Colbert Busch for her response to all the Pelosi crap, it's irritating and a deflection.

[DrScholl]

Someone is making push poll calls against Colbert Busch. This is nothing but desperation.

http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2013/05/01/1945751/south-carolina-push-poll/?mobile=nc

[DrScholl]

That poll has Colbert Busch up double digits in Beaufort County, which indicates that Sanford is in a very tough position. A mere tie in a Republican poll is not great news for Sanford at all.

[DrScholl]

Gravis Marketing was not good in 2012 at all, they had some polls that were off the mark.

That aside, Republicans don't really gain a thing from Sanford winning, he's a liability. So whatever happens, it's a win-win for Democrats, who would get a big talking point and with Sanford having to go to court, it might get even bigger.

[DrScholl]

They still were off compared to some other pollsters (like PPP) and they had wider gaps before the election if I recall correctly. But that's a moot point, since Gravis didn't do the SC-1 poll, they just gave a list a phone numbers to the pollster that did.

[DrScholl]

After making such a big deal about this race when it looked like victory was inevitable, it's pretty funny to see Democrats try and backtrack and act like this race isn't as big of a deal...or even worse that they actually win by losing.

Let me set you straight. Look here, I'm not backtracking anything, I'm just making the point that Republicans should realize that Sanford winning isn't such a good thing. For the record, I still think he's going to lose and I will maintain that prediction, his baggage is just too great and it's a district that a Democrat almost won against a backbencher with no scandal. It's true that win or lose, Democrats can gain some good talking points, but I'm not counting on Elizabeth Colbert Busch losing.

[DrScholl]

lol, that's absurd. Sure, having Sanford in Congress isn't ideal, but it beats all the bad press we'd get for losing a special election in South Carolina, and would also give the middle finger to all those in the media and on the left who thought Colbert-Busch was actually going to win. You're just trying to save face in case Sanford manages to hold on to this seat.

Please, there's nothing to save face for, it's an R+11 district, so the notion of Sanford winning was never a foreign or an impossible concept. It's not a swing district and it's not like a Democrat losing an R+11 is the end of the world, but as I said, I fully expect Elizabeth Colbert Busch to win. End of debate, because I don't see it as something to be argumentative about.

[DrScholl]

As with all close races, it's about the approval, if Sanford is still underwater, Colbert Busch takes it, as that is usually how very close races hinge on. And, there's the fact that Sanford people are comparing Colbert Busch to Lizzie Borden in videos that makes me he's still not in good shape.

[DrScholl]

Colbert Busch 50%
Sanford 47%
Platt 3%

[DrScholl]

It's clearly a toss-up as to who is worse. Both belong on the ignore list, which is a lot better than arguing with either.

[DrScholl]

One thing is for certain, Republicans don't really care what a person does, because they just sent a skanky cur to Congress.

[DrScholl]

Is your life so meaningless that the high point of your day is going "neener neener" at posts people made long before the direction of the race changed?

That's what that poster does, it's so pathetic. Click the ignore button, you will be glad you did.

[DrScholl]

Sanford's adultery wasn't the main problem (although it does look bad on public display), the problem was that he left the state without a word and used state money to do it.

[DrScholl]

What is it that allowed Sanford to come back so hard so fast?

Because most southerners are hypocrtical morons.

There. I said it. And before anyone whines about 'sterotyping', for once prove the rest of us wrong.

On another note, does anyone have the slightest doubt krazen will flagrently cheat onhis wife if he ever marries?

What am I saying? A woman marry/date/talk to krazen?

That can be said of partisans anywhere, as partisanship rules all these days and that is the main thing elections are decide, using the right partisan buzz words. As for the rest your post, I'm not touching that one, rofl, major shade thrown there.