Gillespie really will win this (user search)
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  Gillespie really will win this (search mode)
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Author Topic: Gillespie really will win this  (Read 3537 times)
DrScholl
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Posts: 18,355
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: October 18, 2017, 08:20:16 PM »

You don't win races when you are behind by double digits. Everyone uses "but Trump won" as an excuse to make poor predictions that run counter to polling.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,355
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2017, 03:49:33 PM »

You don't win races when you are behind by double digits. Everyone uses "but Trump won" as an excuse to make poor predictions that run counter to polling.

Worked for Matt Bevin in 2015

Nearly worked the last time Gillespie ran for anything too.

Try again.

Bevin was not behind double digits close to the election in any poll and he was in a much more Republican favorable state. And if we want to talk about 2014, Gillespie got close, but he still lost despite a more favorable environment.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,355
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2017, 05:30:56 PM »

You don't win races when you are behind by double digits. Everyone uses "but Trump won" as an excuse to make poor predictions that run counter to polling.

Worked for Matt Bevin in 2015

Nearly worked the last time Gillespie ran for anything too.

Try again.

Bevin was not behind double digits close to the election in any poll and he was in a much more Republican favorable state. And if we want to talk about 2014, Gillespie got close, but he still lost despite a more favorable environment.

Gillespie isn't behind by double digits.  One poll does not make it so.

But he is ahead because one poll says that he is? You all can't have things both ways. With that said, there are other polls that show him trailing from anywhere form 4-7%. There isn't a lot of evidence outside of wishful thinking that suggest that he will win.
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