When will the next two-term president be elected?

[Skill and Chance]

I'm thinking 2032 actually.  Trump reelected, followed by a 2 term Dem who narrowly gets their VP elected in 2032.  The major economic downturns of the era happen in the early 2020's and mid 2030's. 

[Skill and Chance]

I'm going to bump this thread to see how the results change. You can change your votes as you see fit, but I have a screenshot of the original results. Interesting that as of August 2019, about 1/3rd of Atlas thought Trump would win reelection.

Late 2019 was his peak.  We were heading for Republican 1996 if the economic held up (obviously it didn't). 

[Skill and Chance]

This is now very complicated.  If Biden runs, he is probably favored, so we may have just done it in 2020.  If Biden retires and Harris runs and wins, the Republican is likely to be favored in 2028 based on recent history.  If a Republican wins in 2024, I expect them to be favored for reelection in 2028.  For the first time since the 1920's, 3 one-term/one-election presidents in a row looks like a real possibility.