Seems plausible. MN has a bigger more cosmopolitan metro area so on paper at least, it seems like the type of state that Democrats would continue to have a shot in whereas WI on paper seems like it would trend Republican. They are kind of like VA and NC, similar but on paper one should perform better for Democrats than the other.
This. MSP dominates MN population-wise to a much greater degree than Milwaukee/Madison in WI or Detroit in MI. The influence of MSP as a % of the statewide vote exceeds the influence of Philadelphia metro on PA.
However, there is a
lot of room left for Republicans to gain in outstate MN.
