Gordon Smith might surive because he has been recently voting with the Democrats on the war.
Possibly, but it could be too little too late. He could receive the Lincoln Chafee treatment. Granted Oregon isn't nearly as Democratic as Rhode Island is, but Chafee was also much more liberal than Smith his. Smith his helped by a few tough possible challengers deciding against a run. However, he is still in a bit of trouble. He will get the votes in most of the state. However, metro Portland a Democratic area which he has done well in the past with the exception of Multnomah County where Portland is located, and even there he was done better than any Republicans have. This is an area which may turn on him simply because of that R next to his name much like what happened to Chafee in Rhode Island last year. Doesn't have to win the area (nor should he expect to) but he needs to be at least somewhat competitive there because of the sheer vote size (about 1/3 of the electorate are in Multnomah or Washington counties
