A similar question: who are the Republicans who will leave the party if Bush wins and Congress remains in Republican hands? Unfortunately, success tends to breed fragmentation.
...On both sides. Certainly some Democrats will also leave their party and join us.
The funny thing about the Senate is that it is far from reflecting the polarization in the country. The media's theory of Red/Blue states breaks down when you look at the Senate. Republican senators will win re-election is solid Kerry states and visa-versa.
I think there is a strong probability of a senate party switch in the next two years. I think the probability of a Republican switching is slightly higher than a Democrat, but we could see both.
