Mason Dixon -- Romney burst into 7-point lead in Florida

[krazen1211]

Great News!

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Romney leading with Hispanics? Don't think so.

Link

Bzzzt. Republicans frequently win Florida Hispanics.

[krazen1211]

Romney leading with Hispanics? Don't think so.

http://www.cfnews13.com/content/news/cfnews13/news/article.html/content/news/articles/cfn/2012/10/11/florida_decides_poll.html#results

Bzzzt. Republicans frequently win Florida Hispanics.

Obama won Hispanics by 15 points in 2008, i just don't see a 17 point swing given the fact Dems have been making big gains in Hispanic voter Registration in Floria, old anti Castro Cubans are making up a smaller percentage of the electorate every year and nationally Rommney is getting killed in the polls of Hispanic voters.

Well, you could 'just not see it', but President Bush won Hispanics by 12 points in 2004. There is plenty of precedent for actions you are deeming improbable due to a .3% gain in voter registration.

More recent elections have Marco Rubio and Rick Scott winning or tying among these Hispanics and even the other Florida polls this week have them at 46-44.

But continue on. Romney is being fueled by whites in any case.

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Even Rasmussen has Romney only up 3 in NC so I doubt he's up anywhere near 7 here.

That argument would make a lot more sense if Ras wasn't the most liberal pollster on the tracker right now.

[krazen1211]

Even Rasmussen has Romney only up 3 in NC so I doubt he's up anywhere near 7 here.

That argument would make a lot more sense if Ras wasn't the most liberal pollster on the tracker right now.

Awww... the right is turning on Ras

But the issue to consider.... Obama won the latino vote in FL 57-42 (and only lost the Cuban vote 52-46), so while I buy Obama has lost support... the idea that Romney, of all people, could turn around that to actually lead?

The alternative explanation, as evidenced by people like President Bush, Charlie Crist 2006, Rick Scott, Marco Rubio, and 3 Miami Dade Congressional Republicans, just to name 7, is that 42-57 is not a typical performance for a Republican candidate.

What's wrong with Mr. Romney that was not so with Rick Scott?

[krazen1211]

Unlike the other men on your list, Mr. Romney ran vigorously against illegal immigration in the primary, including in Florida. Cuban immigrants may by definition be legal but people perceive it as an attack on them to impress people who are uncomfortable with Hispanic immigration.

Well, that is a nice theory, but one can examine recent polls on this forum of California, Nevada, and Florida, and note that Romney is gaining among Hispanics.

Or, one can examine that Rick Scott ran vigorously against illegal immigration, including endorsing the recent arizona law, in the 2010 elections and still got half of Hispanics.