Citizen James
James42
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,540
Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -2.78
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« on: September 29, 2009, 11:09:39 PM » |
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80%? No. probably better than 8.0% though. Yes, she is popular with the religious right, which is a sizable portion of the GOP; but so is Huckabee. And Huck probably has more appeal among the more intellectual of the religious right - which are those who herd the authoritarian RR types toward a certain candidate. Palin does likely have more appeal to the most base, rage and fear style Republicans, but I'm not sure that's much of an offset.
If I were to guess odds (via rectal extraction, I suppose) I would gauge the likelyhood of nomination as:
Huckabee: 40%
Romney 30%
Pawtney: 10%
Palin:10%
Other: 10%
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